陈强, 王健, 黄翔东. 东亚地区高频频率预测方法精细化研究[J]. 电波科学学报, 2020, 35(5): 721-729. doi: 10.13443/j.cjors.2019051601
      引用本文: 陈强, 王健, 黄翔东. 东亚地区高频频率预测方法精细化研究[J]. 电波科学学报, 2020, 35(5): 721-729. doi: 10.13443/j.cjors.2019051601
      CHEN Qiang, WANG Jian, HUANG Xiangdong. Refined study of HF frequency prediction method over East Asia Region[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF RADIO SCIENCE, 2020, 35(5): 721-729. doi: 10.13443/j.cjors.2019051601
      Citation: CHEN Qiang, WANG Jian, HUANG Xiangdong. Refined study of HF frequency prediction method over East Asia Region[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF RADIO SCIENCE, 2020, 35(5): 721-729. doi: 10.13443/j.cjors.2019051601

      东亚地区高频频率预测方法精细化研究

      Refined study of HF frequency prediction method over East Asia Region

      • 摘要: 为进一步提升高频(high frequency,HF)频率预测方法精度,提出了一种适用于东亚区域HF可用频率的精细化频率预测方法.该方法在1948—2006年8个电离层观测站的特征数据统计分析基础上,基于太阳10.7 cm辐射通量进行了F2层OWF-MUF和HPF-MUF的转化因子时变特性建模,应用改进克里金方法重建东亚地区的空间分布.利用中国境内6条链路2015年4月和2018年1月的观测结果,对ITU方法、中国区域精细化预测方法以及本文所述方法进行对比分析,结果显示本文所述OWF-MUF和HPF-MUF的转化因子在预测精度上较ITU方法提升了0.029 0和0.007 3,较中国区域精细化预测方法提升了0.003 4和0.007 5,证明本研究可为HF频率预测精度提供技术支撑.

         

        Abstract: In order to improve the accuracy of the high frequency prediction method, a refined usable frequency prediction method suitable for high frequency prediction in East Asia is proposed. The temporal characteristic model for the conversion factor of OWF-MUF and HPF-MUF for F2 layer is reconstructed based on ionospheric critical frequency of F2 layer, which was observed at eight ionosode stations from 1948 to 2006. And the spatial distribution over East Asia was reconstructed by the improved Kriging method. Using the systematic observation which was obtained by six circuits received in Shenyang and Jingyang during April 2015 and January 2018, the prediction error of the proposed method was compared with other methods. The result show that the predicting accuracy is effectively improved by using the proposed method. Specially, the conversion factors of OWF-MUF and HPF-MUF for the proposed have significantly improved the average root-mean-square error by 0.029 0 and 0.007 3 compared with the ITU method, and 0.003 4 and 0.007 5 compared with China's regional refined prediction method. This study provides potential support for improving the accuracy for high frequency communication.

         

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