胡小希, 周晨, 赵军, 刘祎, 刘默然, 赵正予. 基于优化神经网络算法的电离层foF2预测[J]. 电波科学学报, 2018, 33(6): 708-716. doi: 10.13443/j.cjors.2017111301
      引用本文: 胡小希, 周晨, 赵军, 刘祎, 刘默然, 赵正予. 基于优化神经网络算法的电离层foF2预测[J]. 电波科学学报, 2018, 33(6): 708-716. doi: 10.13443/j.cjors.2017111301
      HU Xiaoxi, ZHOU Chen, ZHAO Jun, LIU Yi, LIU Moran, ZHAO Zhengyu. The ionospheric foF2 prediction based on neural network optimization algorithm[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF RADIO SCIENCE, 2018, 33(6): 708-716. doi: 10.13443/j.cjors.2017111301
      Citation: HU Xiaoxi, ZHOU Chen, ZHAO Jun, LIU Yi, LIU Moran, ZHAO Zhengyu. The ionospheric foF2 prediction based on neural network optimization algorithm[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF RADIO SCIENCE, 2018, 33(6): 708-716. doi: 10.13443/j.cjors.2017111301

      基于优化神经网络算法的电离层foF2预测

      The ionospheric foF2 prediction based on neural network optimization algorithm

      • 摘要: 为了提高基于反向传输(back propagation,BP)神经网络的电离层foF2预测的精度,采用了一种改进粒子群优化神经网络的方法,对BP网络的初始权值进行优化,防止出现神经网络训练中的局部最优.通过比较基于粒子群优化的神经网络预测结果与遗传算法优化的神经网络预测结果,我们发现对于BP神经网络,两种方法都有很好的性能.此外,和电离层经验模型国际参考电离层模型(international reference ionosphere 2016,IRI2016)结果进行对比,结果表明,本文提出的自适应变异粒子群(adaptive mutation particle swarm optimization,AMPSO)优化神经网络能有效提高foF2的预测精度,并在低纬地区有更好的预测效果.

         

        Abstract: In order to improve the ionospheric critical frequency based on BP neural network (foF2) prediction accuracy, we adopt a method of improved particle swarm optimization neural network method to optimize the initial weights of BP network to prevent the emergence of local optimal neural network in training. By comparing the results of neural network prediction based on particle swarm optimization and the optimization of genetic algorithm, we find that the two methods have good performance for BP neural network. In addition, compared with the international reference ionosphere model (IRI2016), we find that the adaptive mutation particle swarm optimization neural network can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of foF2, and has better prediction effect in low latitude area.

         

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