多特征多尺度融合下的短波通信MUF预测方法

      A HF Communication MUF Prediction Method Based on Multi-Feature and Multi-Scale Fusion

      • 摘要: 针对复杂电离层和多变通信场景下短波通信MUF预测精度与鲁棒性不足的问题,本文提出多特征多尺度融合下的短波通信频率预测方法。首先,构建了自适应k值图卷积层,通过计算频谱熵,动态确定切比雪夫图卷积的阶数,实现了对多特征数据的准确提取与高效融合,以捕捉不同特征间的复杂关联;其次,设计了跨尺度注意力融合层,并行捕获不同尺度下的时序演化特征,通过生成注意力分数加权融合不同尺度信息,充分挖掘时序数据在不同时间尺度上的特征规律,提高预测精度;最后,引入了门控稀疏整合层,实现模型的冗余控制,筛选核心特征信息,同时完成整合输出,提升模型预测鲁棒性。在杭州-广州链路、新乡-武汉链路上的实验结果表明,本文所提算法的MAE分别达到了0.32MHz、0.38MHz,较ASTGCN算法分别降低了8.57%和11.63%,因此具有较高的预测精度和较强的鲁棒性。该算法有助于优化短波通信系统的频率规划与资源分配,提升通信系统的整体效能与可靠性。

         

        Abstract: To address the insufficient accuracy and robustness of high-frequency communication MUF prediction under complex ionospheric conditions and highly variable communication scenarios, this study proposes a high-frequency communication frequency prediction method based on multi-feature, multi-scale fusion. First, an adaptive k-value graph convolution layer is constructed, in which spectral entropy is computed to dynamically determine the order of the Chebyshev graph convolution, enabling accurate extraction and efficient fusion of multi-feature data and thereby capturing complex dependencies among heterogeneous features. Second, a cross-scale attention fusion layer is designed to capture, in parallel, temporal evolution patterns at different scales; attention scores are generated to perform weighted integration across scales, fully exploiting temporal regularities over multiple time horizons and improving prediction accuracy. Finally, a gated sparse feature integration layer is introduced to control model redundancy by selecting core feature information while producing an integrated output, which enhances prediction robustness. Experimental results on the Hangzhou–Guangzhou link and Xinxiang–Wuhan link show that the MAE of the algorithm proposed in this paper reaches 0.32 MHz and 0.38 MHz, respectively, which are reduced by 8.57% and 11.63% compared with the ASTGCN algorithm. Therefore, the proposed algorithm has high prediction accuracy and strong robustness. This algorithm helps to optimize frequency planning and resource allocation in short-wave communication systems and improve the overall efficiency and reliability of the communication system.

         

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