融合经验模态分解与多熵特征的震前空间电磁异常一致性识别

      Consistent identification of pre-seismic space eletromagnetis anomalies by integrating Empirical Mode Decomposition and Multi-Entropy features

      • 摘要: 准确识别震前空间电磁异常是突破地震短临预测瓶颈的核心挑战与首要环节。本文基于中国首颗地震电磁监测试验卫星“张衡一号”观测的甚低频(Very Low Frequency, VLF)电场数据,以2021年9月8日墨西哥Mw7.0地震为例,采用经验模态分解(Empirical Mode Decomposition, EMD)方法,并结合多种熵特征(样本熵、排列熵、模糊熵、能量熵、时频熵、多尺度熵及其组合),对卫星观测的VLF电场功率谱密度数据进行分解、重构与震前电磁异常信号提取。研究结果显示,在排除空间天气活动影响后,所有熵方法均在震前(7月16日、8月5日、8月15日)于孕震区(9.1°N, 22.69°N)及磁共轭区(约41°S)一致检测到显著的电磁扰动,结果符合电磁扰动跨半球共轭的特性。尽管不同熵方法在异常响应背景偏离度和异常边界清晰度上存在差异,但其结果显示出良好的一致性,表明了该方法在识别震前空间电磁异常方面的有效性和稳健性,具备应用于卫星地震电磁监测业务的潜力。

         

        Abstract: Accurately identifying of pre-seismic ionospheric electromagnetic anomalies is a pivotal challenge and a primary step toward overcoming the bottleneck of short-term earthquake prediction. Using the electric field data in the Very Low Frequency (VLF) band provided by China’s first electromagnetic monitoring satellite (CSES-01), this study investigates the the electromagnetic anomaly associated with the Mw 7.0 Mexico earthquake that occurred on 8 September 2021. We employ the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) method combined with the multiple entropy-based approaches (sample entropy, permutation entropy, fuzzy entropy, energy entropy, time-frequency entropy, multi-scale entropy and their combinations)—to decompose, reconstruct, and extract anomalous signals from the power spectral density data of the VLF electric field. The results show that, after excluding the influence of space weather activity, all entropy-based methods consistently detected significant disturbances of the electric field in both the seismogenic region (9.1°N, 22.69°N) and magnetic conjugate area (approximately 41°S) prior to the mainshock (i.e., on July 16, August 5, and August 15,). These disturbances exhibit hemispheric conjugacy features consistent with pre-seismic electromagnetic coupling. Although different entropy methods exhibit slight variations in anomaly response relative to background and clarity of anomaly boundary, their results demonstrate good consistency, indicating the effectivness and robustness of this proposed approach in identification of pre-seismic electromagnetic anomalies, and highlighting its potential for operational application in satellite-based seismic-electromagnetic monitoring.

         

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