多特征多尺度融合下的短波通信MUF预测方法

      A HF communication MUF prediction method based on multi-feature and multi-scale fusion

      • 摘要: 针对复杂电离层和多变通信场景下短波通信最高可用频率(maximum usable frequency, MUF)预测精度与鲁棒性不足的问题,提出了多特征多尺度融合下的短波通信MUF方法。首先,构建了自适应k值图卷积层,通过计算频谱熵,动态确定切比雪夫图卷积的阶数,实现对多特征数据的准确提取与高效融合,以捕捉不同特征间的复杂关联;其次,设计了跨尺度注意力融合层,并行捕获不同尺度下的时序演化特征,通过生成注意力分数加权融合不同尺度信息,充分挖掘时序数据在不同时间尺度上的特征规律,提高预测精度;最后,引入了门控稀疏特征整合层,实现模型的冗余控制,筛选核心特征信息,同时完成整合输出,提升模型预测鲁棒性。杭州—广州链路、新乡—武汉链路、长沙—广州链路上的实验结果表明,本文所提方法的平均绝对误差(mean absolute error,MAE)分别达到了0.32、0.38、0.35 MHz,相较于典型的时空图卷积模型ASTGCN分别降低了8.57%、11.63%、28.57%,因此具有较高的预测精度和较强的鲁棒性。此外,不同季节条件下的预测分析表明,该方法在春分、夏至、秋分和冬至等典型场景下均能保持较好的预测性能,具有较强的季节适应能力。本文方法有助于优化短波通信系统的频率规划与资源分配,提升了通信系统的整体效能与可靠性。

         

        Abstract: To address the insufficient accuracy and robustness of maximum usable frequency (MUF) prediction for shortwave communication under complex ionospheric conditions and variable communication scenarios, this paper proposes a shortwave communication frequency prediction method based on multi-feature and multi-scale fusion. First, an adaptive k-value graph convolution layer is constructed. By calculating spectral entropy, the order of Chebyshev graph convolution is dynamically determined, so as to realize accurate extraction and efficient fusion of multi-feature data and capture the complex correlations among different features. Second, a cross-scale attention fusion layer is designed to capture temporal evolution features at different scales in parallel. By generating attention scores to weight and fuse multi-scale information, the proposed method fully exploits the feature patterns of time-series data at different time scales and improves prediction accuracy. Finally, a gated sparse integration layer is introduced to control model redundancy, select core feature information, and complete integrated output, thereby enhancing the robustness of model prediction. Experimental results on the Hangzhou–Guangzhou, Xinxiang–Wuhan, and Changsha–Guangzhou links show that the proposed method achieves mean absolute error (MAE) values of 0.32, 0.38, and 0.35 MHz, respectively, which are 8.57%, 11.63%, and 28.57% lower than those of ASTGCN, a typical spatiotemporal graph convolution model, indicating higher prediction accuracy and stronger robustness. In addition, prediction analysis under different seasonal conditions shows that the proposed method can maintain good predictive performance in typical scenarios such as the spring equinox, summer solstice, autumn equinox, and winter solstice, demonstrating strong seasonal adaptability. The proposed method is helpful for optimizing frequency planning and resource allocation in shortwave communication systems, and for improving the overall performance and reliability of communication systems.

         

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